LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
The Footlab model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Sporting San Jose. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose?
LD Alajuelense starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, LD Alajuelense have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sporting San Jose have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | San Carlos(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Diriangén(away) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Escorpiones Belén(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Boise(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Cartagines(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 LD Alajuelense win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Sporting San Jose win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sporting San Jose 1-1 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sporting San Jose 0-2 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2026 | LD Alajuelense 1-2 Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
| Nov 23, 2025 | LD Alajuelense 2-0 Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
| Jul 28, 2025 | Sporting San Jose 1-2 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Apr 17, 2025 | LD Alajuelense 0-0 Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
LD Alajuelense score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting San Jose score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LD Alajuelense | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Sporting San Jose | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
LD Alajuelense sit 2nd in Primera División (10 points from 5 matches) and Sporting San Jose sit 5th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LD Alajuelense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Sporting San Jose | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose?
- The Footlab model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Sporting San Jose.
- Where and when is LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose played?
- LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.