LDU de Quito vs Macara: prediction and stats
Liga ProChampionship Group - 4Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
The Footlab AI model makes LDU de Quito the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Macara. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Macara?
On Elo ratings, LDU de Quito has 1,897 points and Macara 1,875.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for LDU de Quito vs Macara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
LDU de Quito
3-4-1-2- 11M. Estrada
- 13J. Corozo
- 23Yerlin Quinonez
- 57M. Weigandt
- 7L. Rodríguez
- 20F. Cornejo
- 8J. Pretell
- 30G. Allala
- 4Ricardo Ade
- 33Leonel Enrique Quiñónez Padilla
- 1G. Valle
Macara
4-2-3-1- 9F. Posse
- 16J. Cazares
- 28A. Campana
- 20M. Viera
- 15M. Tello
- 5J. Estacio
- 14J. Marrufo
- 25J. Bolaños
- 27J. Mohor
- 4J. Jiménez
- 1R. Rodriguez
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, LDU de Quito have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Macara have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aucas(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Barcelona SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Palmeiras(home) | 3-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aucas(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Emelec(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 LDU de Quito wins, 1 draw, 2 Macara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | Macara 1-0 LDU de Quito | Liga Pro |
| Mar 1, 2026 | LDU de Quito 0-2 Macara | Liga Pro |
| Aug 30, 2025 | LDU de Quito 1-1 Macara | Liga Pro |
| May 10, 2025 | Macara 0-1 LDU de Quito | Liga Pro |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Macara 0-4 LDU de Quito | Liga Pro |
| Mar 5, 2024 | LDU de Quito 2-1 Macara | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Macara vs LDU de Quito on Jul 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
LDU de Quito score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Macara score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDU de Quito | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Macara | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
LDU de Quito sit 3rd in Liga Pro (52 points from 32 matches) and Macara sit 2nd (60 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Macara | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | LDU de Quito | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 26 | 52 |
A question about LDU de Quito vs Macara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for LDU de Quito vs Macara?
- The Footlab AI model makes LDU de Quito the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Macara.
- Where and when is LDU de Quito vs Macara played?
- LDU de Quito vs Macara is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.