LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC: prediction and stats
Liga ProRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
The Footlab model makes LDU de Quito the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Mushuc Runa SC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC?
LDU de Quito starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, LDU de Quito have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Mushuc Runa SC have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Emelec(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Aucas(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Barcelona SC(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario(away) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Manta FC(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Libertad(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 LDU de Quito win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mushuc Runa SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC 1-3 LDU de Quito | Liga Pro |
| Aug 3, 2025 | LDU de Quito 2-1 Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC 1-0 LDU de Quito | Liga Pro |
| Oct 26, 2024 | LDU de Quito 1-1 Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
| May 4, 2024 | Mushuc Runa SC 0-1 LDU de Quito | Liga Pro |
| Dec 2, 2023 | LDU de Quito 3-1 Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Mushuc Runa SC vs LDU de Quito on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
LDU de Quito score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mushuc Runa SC score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDU de Quito | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Mushuc Runa SC | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
LDU de Quito sit 5th in Liga Pro (41 points from 26 matches) and Mushuc Runa SC sit 9th (33 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 20 | 41 |
| 9 | Mushuc Runa SC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 34 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC?
- The Footlab model makes LDU de Quito the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Mushuc Runa SC.
- Where and when is LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC played?
- LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC is played on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.