Le Mans vs Lens II: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group ARegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 19, 2013 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Mans have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Lens II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2013 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 17, 2013 | Monaco(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| May 10, 2013 | Le Havre(home) | 0-4 | Ligue 2 |
| May 3, 2013 | Gazelec FC Ajaccio(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 26, 2013 | Arles(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2013 | Chambly Thelle FC(home) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Roye Noyon(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 7, 2013 | Lille II(away) | 1-6 | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Drancy(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 24, 2013 | Mantes 78(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Le Mans score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lens II score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Lens II | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy