Auxerre vs Le Mans: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre
The Footlab AI model makes Auxerre the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Le Mans. The most likely score is 1-1. If Auxerre wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auxerre vs Le Mans?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Auxerre (1,946) and Le Mans (1,945).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Auxerre vs Le Mans
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Auxerre
3-4-2-1- 9C. Archer
- 10D. Namaso
- 27L. Sy
- 5K. Danois
- 22F. Oppegård
- 8N. Ahamada
- 21R. Faivre
- 92C. Akpa
- 46A. Piedfort
- 4A. Tuanzebe
- 23M. Diop
Le Mans
3-1-4-2- 14L. Mafouta
- 13H. Diallo
- 26R. Bamba
- 10J. Vercruysse
- 29L. Bretelle
- 22L. Calodat
- 8A. Lauray
- 5H. Voyer
- 17S. Yohou
- 15N. Boissé
- 98N. Kocik
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auxerre have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Le Mans have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Clermont Foot(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nice(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Auxerre wins, 1 draw, 1 Le Mans win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2020 | Auxerre 3-2 Le Mans | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 10, 2020 | Le Mans 0-1 Auxerre | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 2, 2019 | Auxerre 2-0 Le Mans | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 25, 2013 | Auxerre 1-1 Le Mans | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 20, 2012 | Le Mans 3-1 Auxerre | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Auxerre score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Le Mans score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Le Mans | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auxerre sit 16th in Ligue 1 (6 points from 6 matches) and Le Mans sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
A question about Auxerre vs Le Mans?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auxerre vs Le Mans?
- The Footlab AI model makes Auxerre the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Le Mans.
- Where and when is Auxerre vs Le Mans played?
- Auxerre vs Le Mans is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.