Le Messager Ngozi vs Top Junior: result 1-0 and analysis
Ligue ARegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 3, 2021 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Urukundo, Mwumba
Full time
What was the result of Le Messager Ngozi vs Top Junior?
Le Messager Ngozi won 1-0 on October 3, 2021.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Messager Ngozi have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Top Junior have 1, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2021 | Rukinzo(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Athlético Olympic(away) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| Sep 23, 2021 | Les Crocos(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Sep 17, 2021 | USGN(home) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 11, 2021 | USGN(away) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2021 | Aigle Noir(home) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Sep 24, 2021 | Dynamik(home) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Kayanza United(away) | 3-3 | Ligue A |
| Aug 18, 2021 | Royal de Muramvya(away) | 0-2 | Ligue A |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 0-3 | Ligue A |
How many goals should we expect?
Le Messager Ngozi score 0.8 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Top Junior score 1.0 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Messager Ngozi | 0.8 | 0.5 | 7 | 4/15 | 1/15 |
| Top Junior | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Le Messager Ngozi | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
A question about Le Messager Ngozi vs Top Junior?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy