Leighton Town vs Leamington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Freed Veneers Community Stadium, Leighton Buzzard, Bedfordshire
The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Leamington. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leighton Town vs Leamington?
Leighton Town starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (1,845 vs 1,618).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leighton Town have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Leamington have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | London Lions(home) | 5-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leighton Town | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Leamington | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leighton Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (5 points from 3 matches) and Leamington sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leighton Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 17 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leighton Town vs Leamington?
- The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Leamington.
- Where and when is Leighton Town vs Leamington played?
- Leighton Town vs Leamington is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Freed Veneers Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Hitchin TownvsBanbury United
- Dec 5, 2026Bury TownvsAnstey Nomads
- Dec 5, 2026Halesowen TownvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Dec 5, 2026AlvechurchvsReal Bedford
- Dec 5, 2026LeistonvsStamford
- Dec 5, 2026Needham MarketvsRacing Club Warwick
- Dec 5, 2026Peterborough SportsvsWorcester City
- Dec 5, 2026Rushall OlympicvsRedditch United