Stamford vs Leighton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Zeeco Stadium, Stamford, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Stamford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stamford vs Leighton Town?
Leighton Town starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,845 vs 1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stamford have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Leighton Town have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | London Lions(home) | 5-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
How many goals should we expect?
Stamford score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stamford | 1.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Leighton Town | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stamford sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (0 points from 3 matches) and Leighton Town sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leighton Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stamford vs Leighton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Stamford.
- Where and when is Stamford vs Leighton Town played?
- Stamford vs Leighton Town is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Zeeco Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026StourbridgevsRushall Olympic
- Nov 28, 2026Banbury UnitedvsHalesowen Town
- Nov 28, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsPeterborough Sports
- Nov 28, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsHitchin Town
- Nov 28, 2026Redditch UnitedvsBury Town
- Nov 28, 2026LeamingtonvsAlvechurch
- Nov 28, 2026Anstey NomadsvsStratford Town
- Nov 28, 2026Racing Club WarwickvsKettering Town