Leamington vs Stourbridge: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Your Co-op Community Stadium, Royal Leamington Spa, Warwickshire
The Footlab model makes Stourbridge the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leamington vs Stourbridge?
Stourbridge starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,756 vs 1,618).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leamington have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Stourbridge have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Halesowen Town(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Leamington win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Stourbridge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | Stourbridge 1-1 Leamington | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Leamington 2-1 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Leamington 0-1 Stourbridge | FA Trophy |
| Sep 11, 2012 | Stourbridge 1-2 Leamington | FA Cup |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Leamington 2-2 Stourbridge | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Stourbridge vs Leamington on Apr 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leamington | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Stourbridge | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leamington sit 17th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 2 matches) and Stourbridge sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 17 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leamington vs Stourbridge?
- The Footlab model makes Stourbridge the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Leamington.
- Where and when is Leamington vs Stourbridge played?
- Leamington vs Stourbridge is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Your Co-op Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 2, 2027Hitchin TownvsBishop's Stortford
- Jan 2, 2027StamfordvsKettering Town
- Jan 2, 2027Halesowen TownvsRedditch United
- Jan 2, 2027AlvechurchvsRushall Olympic
- Jan 2, 2027Banbury UnitedvsAnstey Nomads
- Jan 2, 2027Bromsgrove SportingvsWorcester City
- Jan 2, 2027LeistonvsBury Town
- Jan 2, 2027Peterborough SportsvsNeedham Market