Match

Stourbridge vs Leamington: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Athletic Ground, Stourbridge, West Midlands

StourbridgeLeamington

The Footlab model makes Stourbridge the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stourbridge vs Leamington?

Stourbridge starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,751 vs 1,613).

Stourbridge win55 %
Draw23 %
Leamington win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stourbridge have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Leamington have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stourbridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leiston(home)2-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Peterborough Sports(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stamford(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Halesowen Town(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
Leamington
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bury Town(away)0-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Kettering Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Anstey Nomads(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Real Bedford(away)2-4Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Yate Town(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Stourbridge win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Leamington win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 9, 2024Stourbridge 1-1 LeamingtonNon League Premier - Southern Central
Oct 24, 2023Leamington 2-1 StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central
Dec 16, 2017Leamington 0-1 StourbridgeFA Trophy
Sep 11, 2012Stourbridge 1-2 LeamingtonFA Cup
Sep 8, 2012Leamington 2-2 StourbridgeFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Stourbridge vs Leamington on Apr 9, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stourbridge1.71.648/1510/15
Leamington1.32.2111/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stourbridge sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 2 matches) and Leamington sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Stourbridge2200416
17Leamington2011351

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stourbridge vs Leamington?
The Footlab model makes Stourbridge the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Leamington.
Where and when is Stourbridge vs Leamington played?
Stourbridge vs Leamington is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Athletic Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Stourbridge and Leamington

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