Stourbridge vs Leamington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Athletic Ground, Stourbridge, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Stourbridge the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stourbridge vs Leamington?
Stourbridge starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,751 vs 1,613).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stourbridge have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Leamington have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Halesowen Town(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Stourbridge win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Leamington win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | Stourbridge 1-1 Leamington | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Leamington 2-1 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Leamington 0-1 Stourbridge | FA Trophy |
| Sep 11, 2012 | Stourbridge 1-2 Leamington | FA Cup |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Leamington 2-2 Stourbridge | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Stourbridge vs Leamington on Apr 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stourbridge | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Leamington | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stourbridge sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 2 matches) and Leamington sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 17 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stourbridge vs Leamington?
- The Footlab model makes Stourbridge the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Leamington.
- Where and when is Stourbridge vs Leamington played?
- Stourbridge vs Leamington is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Athletic Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 31, 2026Bury TownvsLeiston
- Aug 31, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsHitchin Town
- Aug 31, 2026Needham MarketvsPeterborough Sports
- Aug 31, 2026Redditch UnitedvsHalesowen Town
- Aug 31, 2026Rushall OlympicvsAlvechurch
- Aug 31, 2026Kettering TownvsStamford
- Aug 31, 2026Anstey NomadsvsBanbury United
- Aug 31, 2026Racing Club WarwickvsStratford Town