Dartford vs Leatherhead: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Princes Park, Dartford, Kent
The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Leatherhead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dartford vs Leatherhead?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Dartford (1,879) and Leatherhead (1,865).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dartford have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Leatherhead have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ashford United(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(home) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Dartford win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Leatherhead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2024 | Dartford 2-0 Leatherhead | FA Cup |
| Aug 1, 2023 | Leatherhead 3-1 Dartford | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Dartford vs Leatherhead on Sep 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Dartford score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dartford | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Leatherhead | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dartford sit 5th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Leatherhead sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dartford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 8 | Leatherhead | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dartford vs Leatherhead?
- The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Leatherhead.
- Where and when is Dartford vs Leatherhead played?
- Dartford vs Leatherhead is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Princes Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026St Albans CityvsWhyteleafe
- Nov 21, 2026RamsgatevsLewes
- Nov 21, 2026Three BridgesvsCheshunt
- Nov 21, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsAveley
- Nov 21, 2026Cray WanderersvsWhitehawk
- Nov 21, 2026Enfield TownvsEastbourne Borough
- Nov 21, 2026Wingate & FinchleyvsBrentwood Town
- Nov 21, 2026Dulwich HamletvsWelling United