Leatherhead vs Lewes: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fetcham Grove, Leatherhead, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Lewes. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leatherhead vs Lewes?
Leatherhead starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leatherhead have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Lewes have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(home) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leatherhead win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Lewes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | Leatherhead 0-1 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Lewes 5-0 Leatherhead | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 7, 2019 | Lewes 0-1 Leatherhead | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 11, 2019 | Lewes 4-4 Leatherhead | FA Cup |
| Sep 7, 2019 | Leatherhead 2-2 Lewes | FA Cup |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Leatherhead 1-4 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
How many goals should we expect?
Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leatherhead | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Lewes | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leatherhead sit 8th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Lewes sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leatherhead | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Lewes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leatherhead vs Lewes?
- The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Lewes.
- Where and when is Leatherhead vs Lewes played?
- Leatherhead vs Lewes is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fetcham Grove, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026DartfordvsCray Wanderers
- Nov 28, 2026Brentwood TownvsWhitehawk
- Nov 28, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsEastbourne Borough
- Nov 28, 2026WhyteleafevsAveley
- Nov 28, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsSt Albans City
- Nov 28, 2026Three BridgesvsWingate & Finchley
- Nov 28, 2026CheshuntvsRamsgate
- Nov 28, 2026Dulwich HamletvsStanway Rovers