Leatherhead vs Lewes: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fetcham Grove, Leatherhead, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Lewes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leatherhead wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leatherhead vs Lewes?
Leatherhead starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,932 vs 1,808).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leatherhead vs Lewes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leatherhead
Not enough data to predict the Leatherhead lineup.
Lewes
Not enough data to predict the Lewes lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leatherhead have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Lewes have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ramsgate(home) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leatherhead win, 2 draws, 3 Lewes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | Leatherhead 0-1 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Lewes 5-0 Leatherhead | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 7, 2019 | Lewes 0-1 Leatherhead | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 11, 2019 | Lewes 4-4 Leatherhead | FA Cup |
| Sep 7, 2019 | Leatherhead 2-2 Lewes | FA Cup |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Leatherhead 1-4 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
How many goals should we expect?
Leatherhead score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lewes score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leatherhead | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Lewes | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leatherhead sit 11th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (15 points from 11 matches) and Lewes sit 4th (22 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lewes | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 22 |
| 11 | Leatherhead | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 15 |
A question about Leatherhead vs Lewes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leatherhead vs Lewes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Lewes.
- Where and when is Leatherhead vs Lewes played?
- Leatherhead vs Lewes is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fetcham Grove, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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