Burgess Hill Town vs Eastbourne Borough: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, Burgess Hill, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Eastbourne Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgess Hill Town vs Eastbourne Borough?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Burgess Hill Town (1,828) and Eastbourne Borough (1,749).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgess Hill Town have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Eastbourne Borough have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentwood Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aveley(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Eastbourne Borough score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgess Hill Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Eastbourne Borough | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgess Hill Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Eastbourne Borough sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | Burgess Hill Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgess Hill Town vs Eastbourne Borough?
- The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Eastbourne Borough.
- Where and when is Burgess Hill Town vs Eastbourne Borough played?
- Burgess Hill Town vs Eastbourne Borough is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.