Whyteleafe vs Aveley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Church Road, Whyteleafe, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Whyteleafe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Whyteleafe vs Aveley?
Aveley starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whyteleafe have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Aveley have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lewes(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Southall(away) | 0-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Whyteleafe score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whyteleafe | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Aveley | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Whyteleafe sit 20th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Aveley sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aveley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 20 | Whyteleafe | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Whyteleafe vs Aveley?
- The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Whyteleafe.
- Where and when is Whyteleafe vs Aveley played?
- Whyteleafe vs Aveley is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Church Road, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026DartfordvsCray Wanderers
- Nov 28, 2026LeatherheadvsLewes
- Nov 28, 2026Brentwood TownvsWhitehawk
- Nov 28, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsEastbourne Borough
- Nov 28, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsSt Albans City
- Nov 28, 2026Three BridgesvsWingate & Finchley
- Nov 28, 2026CheshuntvsRamsgate
- Nov 28, 2026Dulwich HamletvsStanway Rovers