Match

Whyteleafe vs Aveley: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Church Road, Whyteleafe, Surrey

WhyteleafeAveley

The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Whyteleafe. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Whyteleafe vs Aveley?

Aveley starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,690).

Whyteleafe win23 %
Draw23 %
Aveley win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whyteleafe have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Aveley have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Whyteleafe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lewes(away)1-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Wingate & Finchley(home)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Burgess Hill Town(away)0-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Sep 7, 2025Southall(away)0-0FA Trophy
Aveley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Three Bridges(away)5-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Whitehawk(home)3-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(away)0-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Southend(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Whyteleafe score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Whyteleafe1.52.039/1511/15
Aveley2.41.7310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Whyteleafe sit 20th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Aveley sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Aveley42111067
20Whyteleafe40133101

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Whyteleafe vs Aveley?
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Whyteleafe.
Where and when is Whyteleafe vs Aveley played?
Whyteleafe vs Aveley is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Church Road, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Whyteleafe and Aveley

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