Lecce vs Frosinone: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce
The Footlab AI model makes Frosinone the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Lecce. The most likely score is 1-1. If Frosinone wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,640 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lecce vs Frosinone?
Frosinone starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (2,040 vs 1,883).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lecce vs Frosinone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lecce
4-3-3- 50S. Pierotti
- 22Paco Esteban
- 7A. Ahmed Fatah
- 29L. Coulibaly
- 20I. Ilić
- 14Y. Maleh
- 17Danilo Veiga
- 25A. Gallo
- 5J. Siebert
- 44Tiago Gabriel
- 30W. Falcone
Frosinone
4-2-3-1- 9A. Raimondo
- 14G. Calò
- 73P. Masini
- 10R. Schmid
- 17G. Kvernadze
- 7F. Ghedjemis
- 79G. Bracaglia
- 20A. Oyono
- 2G. Cittadini
- 30I. Monterisi
- 22L. Palmisani
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecce have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Frosinone have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Monza(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Como(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lecce wins, 3 draws, 0 Frosinone wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | Frosinone 1-1 Lecce | Serie A |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Lecce 2-1 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Lecce 1-0 Frosinone | Serie B |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Frosinone 0-0 Lecce | Serie B |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Frosinone 0-3 Lecce | Serie B |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Lecce 2-2 Frosinone | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Lecce score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Frosinone score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Frosinone | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lecce sit 13th in Serie A (6 points from 6 matches) and Frosinone sit 4th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| 13 | Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Lecce vs Frosinone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lecce vs Frosinone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Frosinone the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Lecce.
- Where and when is Lecce vs Frosinone played?
- Lecce vs Frosinone is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.