Frosinone vs Lecce: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
The Footlab AI model makes Frosinone the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Lecce. The most likely score is 1-1. If Frosinone wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frosinone vs Lecce?
Frosinone starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (2,057 vs 1,910).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Frosinone vs Lecce
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Frosinone
4-2-3-1- 9A. Raimondo
- 14G. Calò
- 73P. Masini
- 17G. Kvernadze
- 10R. Schmid
- 7F. Ghedjemis
- 79G. Bracaglia
- 3G. Calvani
- 20A. Oyono
- 30I. Monterisi
- 22L. Palmisani
Lecce
4-3-3- 29L. Coulibaly
- 9N. Štulić
- 99Joël Monteiro
- 20I. Ilić
- 50S. Pierotti
- 14Y. Maleh
- 17Danilo Veiga
- 25A. Gallo
- 5J. Siebert
- 4Kialonda Gaspar
- 30W. Falcone
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frosinone have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Lecce have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Como(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Monza(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Frosinone wins, 3 draws, 3 Lecce wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | Frosinone 1-1 Lecce | Serie A |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Lecce 2-1 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Lecce 1-0 Frosinone | Serie B |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Frosinone 0-0 Lecce | Serie B |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Frosinone 0-3 Lecce | Serie B |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Lecce 2-2 Frosinone | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Frosinone score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lecce score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Lecce | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frosinone sit 6th in Serie A (10 points from 5 matches) and Lecce sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
A question about Frosinone vs Lecce?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frosinone vs Lecce?
- The Footlab AI model makes Frosinone the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Lecce.
- Where and when is Frosinone vs Lecce played?
- Frosinone vs Lecce is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Benito Stirpe, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.