Venezia vs Parma: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia
The Footlab AI model makes Venezia the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Parma. The most likely score is 1-1. If Venezia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,382 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Venezia vs Parma?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Venezia (1,905) and Parma (1,860).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Venezia vs Parma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Venezia
3-5-2- 45A. Adams
- 10J. Yeboah
- 71Kike Pérez
- 18A. Hainaut
- 19S. Sohm
- 14Thierry Correia
- 26T. Bašić
- 2M. Moreno
- 15Juan Jesus
- 25R. Halhal
- 1F. Stanković
Parma
3-4-2-1- 23N. Elphege
- 14E. Valeri
- 15E. Del Prato
- 19E. Touré
- 16M. Keita
- 4V. Sierro
- 80G. Fabbian
- 37M. Troilo
- 34Diego Carlos
- 29F. Carboni
- 40E. Corvi
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Venezia have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Parma have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Fiorentina(home) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Genoa(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Monza(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Venezia win, 2 draws, 3 Parma wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Parma 1-1 Venezia | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Venezia 1-2 Parma | Serie A |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Parma 2-1 Venezia | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Venezia 3-2 Parma | Serie B |
| May 19, 2023 | Parma 2-1 Venezia | Serie B |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Venezia 2-2 Parma | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Venezia score 2.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Parma score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 2.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Parma | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Venezia sit 20th in Serie A (0 points from 6 matches) and Parma sit 18th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 0 |
A question about Venezia vs Parma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Venezia vs Parma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Venezia the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Parma.
- Where and when is Venezia vs Parma played?
- Venezia vs Parma is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.