Where and when is Renate vs Alcione played?

Renate vs Alcione is played on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mino Favini, in the Serie C - Girone A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Renate vs Alcione: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 20Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mino Favini, Meda

Renate

Alcione

The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Alcione. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Renate vs Alcione?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Renate (1,814) and Alcione (1,746).

Renate win47 %

Draw29 %

Alcione win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renate have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Alcione have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Renate
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Alcione(away)	1-3	Serie C - Girone A
Aug 15, 2026	Lumezzane(away)	2-2	Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 8, 2026	Città di Varese(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 13, 2026	Casarano(home)	0-3	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Casarano(away)	2-0	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

Alcione
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Renate(home)	3-1	Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026	Novara(home)	0-1	Coppa Italia Serie C
Jul 30, 2026	Mantova(away)	2-6	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Torino(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Lumezzane(away)	0-0	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Renate win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Alcione win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Alcione 3-1 Renate	Serie C - Girone A
Feb 2, 2026	Renate 1-0 Alcione	Serie C - Girone A
Sep 21, 2025	Alcione 1-1 Renate	Serie C - Girone A
Jan 11, 2025	Renate 0-1 Alcione	Serie C - Girone A
Sep 7, 2024	Alcione 0-1 Renate	Serie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Alcione vs Renate on Aug 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Renate score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alcione score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Renate	1.7	1.3	6	8/15	11/15
Alcione	0.7	1.3	3	7/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Renate sit 16th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Alcione sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alcione	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
16	Renate	1	0	0	1	1	3	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Renate vs Alcione?: The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Alcione.
Where and when is Renate vs Alcione played?: Renate vs Alcione is played on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mino Favini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.