Lechia Zielona Góra vs Podhale Nowy Targ: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Zielona Góra
The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Podhale Nowy Targ. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia Zielona Góra vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Lechia Zielona Góra (1,900) and Podhale Nowy Targ (1,853).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Zielona Góra have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Podhale Nowy Targ have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 6-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(away) | 0-0 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia Zielona Góra score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia Zielona Góra | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Podhale Nowy Targ | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia Zielona Góra sit 11th in II Liga - East (6 points from 5 matches) and Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Podhale Nowy Targ.
- Where and when is Lechia Zielona Góra vs Podhale Nowy Targ played?
- Lechia Zielona Góra vs Podhale Nowy Targ is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Chojniczanka ChojnicevsHutnik Kraków
- Apr 24, 2027Tychy 71vsLegia Warszawa II
- Apr 24, 2027Olimpia GrudziądzvsŚwit Skolwin
- Apr 24, 2027Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsZnicz Pruszków
- Apr 24, 2027Stal Stalowa WolavsGórnik Łęczna
- Apr 24, 2027Zawisza BydgoszczvsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Apr 24, 2027Sokół KleczewvsResovia Rzeszów
- Apr 24, 2027Avia ŚwidnikvsŚląsk Wrocław II