Match

Lechia Zielona Góra vs Podhale Nowy Targ: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Zielona Góra

Lechia Zielona GóraPodhale Nowy Targ

The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Podhale Nowy Targ. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lechia Zielona Góra vs Podhale Nowy Targ?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Lechia Zielona Góra (1,900) and Podhale Nowy Targ (1,853).

Lechia Zielona Góra win48 %
Draw25 %
Podhale Nowy Targ win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Zielona Góra have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Podhale Nowy Targ have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lechia Zielona Góra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026Zawisza Bydgoszcz(away)1-2II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Sokół Kleczew(home)6-1II Liga - East
Aug 1, 2026Olimpia Grudziądz(home)2-2II Liga - East
Jul 25, 2026Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home)1-1II Liga - East
Podhale Nowy Targ
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Resovia Rzeszów(home)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Chojniczanka Chojnice(home)2-0Cup
Aug 1, 2026Sokół Kleczew(away)0-0II Liga - East

How many goals should we expect?

Lechia Zielona Góra score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lechia Zielona Góra2.11.3311/1510/15
Podhale Nowy Targ1.91.6310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lechia Zielona Góra sit 11th in II Liga - East (6 points from 5 matches) and Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Lechia Zielona Góra51311176
15Podhale Nowy Targ51228125

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Podhale Nowy Targ.
Where and when is Lechia Zielona Góra vs Podhale Nowy Targ played?
Lechia Zielona Góra vs Podhale Nowy Targ is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lechia Zielona Góra and Podhale Nowy Targ

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