Where and when is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lechia Zielona Góra played?

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lechia Zielona Góra is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the II Liga - East.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lechia Zielona Góra: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Nowy Targ

Podhale Nowy Targ

Lechia Zielona Góra

The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Podhale Nowy Targ. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Podhale Nowy Targ (1,853) and Lechia Zielona Góra (1,900).

Podhale Nowy Targ win36 %

Draw26 %

Lechia Zielona Góra win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podhale Nowy Targ have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Lechia Zielona Góra have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Podhale Nowy Targ
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Resovia Rzeszów(home)	1-1	II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026	Górnik Łęczna(away)	2-5	II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026	Hutnik Kraków(home)	2-5	II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026	Chojniczanka Chojnice(home)	2-0	Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Sokół Kleczew(away)	0-0	II Liga - East

Lechia Zielona Góra
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Hutnik Kraków(home)	1-1	II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026	Zawisza Bydgoszcz(away)	1-2	II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026	Sokół Kleczew(home)	6-1	II Liga - East
Aug 1, 2026	Olimpia Grudziądz(home)	2-2	II Liga - East
Jul 25, 2026	Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home)	1-1	II Liga - East

How many goals should we expect?

Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Zielona Góra score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Podhale Nowy Targ	1.9	1.6	3	10/15	9/15
Lechia Zielona Góra	2.1	1.3	3	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th in II Liga - East (5 points from 5 matches) and Lechia Zielona Góra sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Lechia Zielona Góra	5	1	3	1	11	7	6
15	Podhale Nowy Targ	5	1	2	2	8	12	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lechia Zielona Góra?: The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Podhale Nowy Targ.
Where and when is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lechia Zielona Góra played?: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lechia Zielona Góra is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.