Where and when is Górnik Łęczna vs Lechia Zielona Góra played?

Górnik Łęczna vs Lechia Zielona Góra is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bogdanka Arena, in the II Liga - East.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Górnik Łęczna vs Lechia Zielona Góra: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bogdanka Arena, Łęczna

Górnik Łęczna

Lechia Zielona Góra

The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Górnik Łęczna. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Górnik Łęczna vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

Lechia Zielona Góra starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,777).

Górnik Łęczna win30 %

Draw25 %

Lechia Zielona Góra win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Łęczna have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Lechia Zielona Góra have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Górnik Łęczna
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away)	1-1	II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026	Podhale Nowy Targ(home)	5-2	II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026	Śląsk Wrocław II(away)	0-2	II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026	Kalisz(home)	2-0	Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Avia Świdnik(home)	0-1	II Liga - East

Lechia Zielona Góra
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Hutnik Kraków(home)	1-1	II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026	Zawisza Bydgoszcz(away)	1-2	II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026	Sokół Kleczew(home)	6-1	II Liga - East
Aug 1, 2026	Olimpia Grudziądz(home)	2-2	II Liga - East
Jul 25, 2026	Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home)	1-1	II Liga - East

How many goals should we expect?

Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Zielona Góra score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Górnik Łęczna	1.3	1.9	1	8/15	8/15
Lechia Zielona Góra	2.1	1.3	3	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Górnik Łęczna sit 8th in II Liga - East (7 points from 5 matches) and Lechia Zielona Góra sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Górnik Łęczna	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
11	Lechia Zielona Góra	5	1	3	1	11	7	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Górnik Łęczna vs Lechia Zielona Góra?: The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Górnik Łęczna.
Where and when is Górnik Łęczna vs Lechia Zielona Góra played?: Górnik Łęczna vs Lechia Zielona Góra is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bogdanka Arena, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.