Match

Stal Stalowa Wola vs Górnik Łęczna: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Podkarpackie Centrum Piłki Nożnej, Stalowa Wola

Stal Stalowa WolaGórnik Łęczna

The Footlab model makes Stal Stalowa Wola the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Górnik Łęczna. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Stalowa Wola vs Górnik Łęczna?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Stal Stalowa Wola (1,821) and Górnik Łęczna (1,777).

Stal Stalowa Wola win47 %
Draw25 %
Górnik Łęczna win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Stalowa Wola have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Górnik Łęczna have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Stalowa Wola
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chojniczanka Chojnice(away)0-2II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026Avia Świdnik(home)4-0II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away)1-3II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Śląsk Wrocław II(away)2-3Cup
Jul 31, 2026Tychy 71(home)1-2II Liga - East
Górnik Łęczna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026Podhale Nowy Targ(home)5-2II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026Śląsk Wrocław II(away)0-2II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Kalisz(home)2-0Cup
Aug 1, 2026Avia Świdnik(home)0-1II Liga - East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Stal Stalowa Wola win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Górnik Łęczna win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 1, 2024Górnik Łęczna 2-0 Stal Stalowa WolaI Liga
Jul 20, 2024Stal Stalowa Wola 0-1 Górnik ŁęcznaI Liga
Jun 6, 2020Górnik Łęczna 1-2 Stal Stalowa WolaII Liga - East
Aug 31, 2019Stal Stalowa Wola 1-3 Górnik ŁęcznaII Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola on Dec 1, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stal Stalowa Wola1.61.267/158/15
Górnik Łęczna1.31.918/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th in II Liga - East (6 points from 5 matches) and Górnik Łęczna sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Górnik Łęczna5212987
12Stal Stalowa Wola5203876

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Górnik Łęczna?
The Footlab model makes Stal Stalowa Wola the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Górnik Łęczna.
Where and when is Stal Stalowa Wola vs Górnik Łęczna played?
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Górnik Łęczna is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Podkarpackie Centrum Piłki Nożnej, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stal Stalowa Wola and Górnik Łęczna

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