Stal Stalowa Wola vs Górnik Łęczna: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Podkarpackie Centrum Piłki Nożnej, Stalowa Wola
The Footlab model makes Stal Stalowa Wola the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Górnik Łęczna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Stalowa Wola vs Górnik Łęczna?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Stal Stalowa Wola (1,821) and Górnik Łęczna (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Stalowa Wola have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Górnik Łęczna have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 4-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 1-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tychy 71(home) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(home) | 5-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Stal Stalowa Wola win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Górnik Łęczna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | Górnik Łęczna 2-0 Stal Stalowa Wola | I Liga |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Stal Stalowa Wola 0-1 Górnik Łęczna | I Liga |
| Jun 6, 2020 | Górnik Łęczna 1-2 Stal Stalowa Wola | II Liga - East |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Stal Stalowa Wola 1-3 Górnik Łęczna | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola on Dec 1, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Stalowa Wola | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Górnik Łęczna | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th in II Liga - East (6 points from 5 matches) and Górnik Łęczna sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Górnik Łęczna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Górnik Łęczna?
- The Footlab model makes Stal Stalowa Wola the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Górnik Łęczna.
- Where and when is Stal Stalowa Wola vs Górnik Łęczna played?
- Stal Stalowa Wola vs Górnik Łęczna is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Podkarpackie Centrum Piłki Nożnej, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Chojniczanka ChojnicevsHutnik Kraków
- Apr 24, 2027Tychy 71vsLegia Warszawa II
- Apr 24, 2027Olimpia GrudziądzvsŚwit Skolwin
- Apr 24, 2027Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsZnicz Pruszków
- Apr 24, 2027Zawisza BydgoszczvsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Apr 24, 2027Lechia Zielona GóravsPodhale Nowy Targ
- Apr 24, 2027Sokół KleczewvsResovia Rzeszów
- Apr 24, 2027Avia ŚwidnikvsŚląsk Wrocław II