Aston Villa vs Hull City: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
The Footlab AI model makes Aston Villa the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Hull City. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Hull City?
Aston Villa starts as the favourite with a 271-point Elo edge (2,201 vs 1,930).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aston Villa vs Hull City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1- 11N. Jackson
- 8B. Kamara
- 44J. Manzambi
- 7J. McGinn
- 35João Gomes
- 47Alysson Edward
- 3V. Lindelöf
- 2M. Cash
- 22I. Maatsen
- 14Pau Torres
- 1Z. Suzuki
Hull City
5-4-1- 9O. McBurnie
- 27R. Slater
- 10M. Belloumi
- 21E. Stroud
- 42T. Iroegbunam
- 2L. Coyle
- 6S. Ajayi
- 15J. Egan
- 3R. Giles
- 32N. Mendy
- 19K. Tzolakis
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 02:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hull City have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Manchester City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Viking(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aston Villa win, 4 draws, 1 Hull City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Hull City 0-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Jan 19, 2019 | Aston Villa 2-2 Hull City | Championship |
| Aug 6, 2018 | Hull City 1-3 Aston Villa | Championship |
| Mar 31, 2018 | Hull City 0-0 Aston Villa | Championship |
| Aug 5, 2017 | Aston Villa 1-1 Hull City | Championship |
| Feb 10, 2015 | Hull City 2-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Hull City vs Aston Villa on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hull City score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Hull City | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aston Villa sit 10th in Premier League (12 points from 9 matches) and Hull City sit 11th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
A question about Aston Villa vs Hull City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aston Villa vs Hull City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aston Villa the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Aston Villa vs Hull City played?
- Aston Villa vs Hull City is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Villa Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.