Lefkimmi vs Tilikratis: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6Group 6 - 1Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Lefkímmis, Lefkímmis
The Footlab model makes Lefkimmi the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Tilikratis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lefkimmi vs Tilikratis?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Lefkimmi (1,448) and Tilikratis (1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lefkimmi have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tilikratis have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Proodos Rogon(home) | 5-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | A. Schimatari(home) | 4-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Anagennisi Artas(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Anthoupoli(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nea Selefkia(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Aris Filiates(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Asteras Stavros(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Lamia(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Trikala(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Elassona(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lefkimmi win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Tilikratis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Lefkimmi 0-0 Tilikratis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Tilikratis 1-2 Lefkimmi | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Tilikratis 2-0 Lefkimmi | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Lefkimmi 2-4 Tilikratis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Tilikratis 4-4 Lefkimmi | Cup |
| May 23, 2021 | Lefkimmi 1-1 Tilikratis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Lefkimmi vs Tilikratis on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lefkimmi score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tilikratis score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lefkimmi | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Tilikratis | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lefkimmi vs Tilikratis?
- The Footlab model makes Lefkimmi the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Tilikratis.
- Where and when is Lefkimmi vs Tilikratis played?
- Lefkimmi vs Tilikratis is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lefkímmis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.