Leganes vs Cadiz: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab AI model makes Leganes the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Cadiz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leganes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganes vs Cadiz?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Leganes (1,905) and Cadiz (1,846).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leganes vs Cadiz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leganes
5-3-2- 21Álvaro Morata
- 17Ismaël Gharbi
- 20Miguel Atienza
- 10Z. Buurmeester
- 8Y. Kechta
- 2Marvel
- 6Lalo Aguilar
- 11Naim García
- 5Ignasi Miquel
- 22Álex Sancris
- 13L. Zidane
Cadiz
4-2-3-1- 21V. Kopotun
- 18Jandro Orellana
- 24Ibon Sánchez
- 16Antonio Cordero
- 28D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
- 5M. Doué
- 4Javi Castro
- 27J. Diaz Peregrina
- 6Manu Fernández
- 3Sergio Arribas
- 1David Gil
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganes have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cadiz have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Leganes wins, 1 draw, 2 Cadiz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cadiz 4-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| May 24, 2026 | Cadiz 3-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Leganes 1-1 Cadiz | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Leganes score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cadiz score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Cadiz | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leganes sit 16th in Segunda División (11 points from 9 matches) and Cadiz sit 20th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Leganes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 11 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Leganes vs Cadiz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganes vs Cadiz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leganes the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Cadiz.
- Where and when is Leganes vs Cadiz played?
- Leganes vs Cadiz is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.