Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Milton Keynes Dons wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon?
On Elo ratings, Milton Keynes Dons has 1,899 points and AFC Wimbledon 1,805.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2- 10A. Collins
- 9S. Nombe
- 24R. Wintle
- 8A. Gilbey
- 17S. Silvera
- 22I. Fullah
- 20Elijah Xavier Campbell
- 5C. Goode
- 21M. Ekpiteta
- 32J. Sanders
- 23W. Dennis
AFC Wimbledon
5-4-1- 9J. Stockley
- 8C. Maycock
- 12A. Smith
- 21M. Hippolyte
- 5O. Harrison
- 3S. Seddon
- 29A. Sasu
- 17A. Yiadom
- 6R. Johnson
- 15F. Simmonds
- 39J. Bursik
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milton Keynes Dons have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Wimbledon have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Luton(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Reading(home) | 1-5 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Brentford U21(home) | 7-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-5 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Milton Keynes Dons win, 2 draws, 3 AFC Wimbledon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons | League One |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Milton Keynes Dons 0-0 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Milton Keynes Dons 0-2 AFC Wimbledon | FA Cup |
| Sep 14, 2024 | AFC Wimbledon 3-0 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| Mar 2, 2024 | AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Milton Keynes Dons 3-1 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
Last archived meeting: AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons on Sep 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Milton Keynes Dons score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Wimbledon score 0.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.6 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Milton Keynes Dons sit 20th in League One (9 points from 10 matches) and AFC Wimbledon sit 16th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 12 |
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 9 |
A question about Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon played?
- Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium mk, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.