Match

Stevenage vs Leyton Orient: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire

StevenageLeyton Orient

The Footlab AI model makes Stevenage the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Leyton Orient. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stevenage wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stevenage vs Leyton Orient?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Stevenage (1,897) and Leyton Orient (1,817).

47%27%26%
Stevenage winDrawLeyton Orient win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Stevenage vs Leyton Orient

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Stevenage

3-4-1-2
  1. 9J. Magennis
  2. 18O. Sanderson
  1. 8D. Phillips
  2. 10D. Kemp
  3. 14S. Earley
  4. 24M. Smith
  5. 25Wanya Marçal
  1. 5C. Piergianni
  2. 2L. James-Wildin
  3. 15T. Vancooten
  1. 1T. Setford

Leyton Orient

3-4-2-1
  1. 18D. Scarlett
  1. 2F. Stevens
  2. 22Y. Akhamrich
  3. 9J. Kabia
  4. 20A. Gilbert
  5. 14I. Hayden
  6. 8I. El Mizouni
  1. 6W. Forrester
  2. 5J. Olowu
  3. 12A. Gilchrist
  1. 1N. Baxter

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:59 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stevenage have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Leyton Orient have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stevenage
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Wigan(home)1-0League One
Oct 6, 2026Leicester(home)2-1EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Walsall(away)6-1EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Leyton Orient(away)0-1League One
Sep 10, 2026Luton(home)2-1League One
Leyton Orient
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Bradford(away)0-0League One
Oct 3, 2026Plymouth(home)0-2League One
Sep 19, 2026Stevenage(home)1-0League One
Sep 15, 2026Arsenal U21(home)1-2EFL Trophy
Sep 12, 2026Wycombe(home)2-3League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stevenage wins, 1 draw, 3 Leyton Orient wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Leyton Orient 1-0 StevenageLeague One
Mar 10, 2026Stevenage 1-2 Leyton OrientLeague One
Sep 27, 2025Leyton Orient 2-3 StevenageLeague One
Mar 27, 2025Leyton Orient 1-0 StevenageLeague One
Jan 21, 2025Leyton Orient 0-1 StevenageEFL Trophy
Nov 23, 2024Stevenage 0-0 Leyton OrientLeague One

Last archived meeting: Leyton Orient vs Stevenage on Sep 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stevenage score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leyton Orient score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stevenage1.61.348/159/15
Leyton Orient1.71.268/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stevenage sit 9th in League One (12 points from 8 matches) and Leyton Orient sit 13th (11 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Stevenage833212812
13Leyton Orient9324131111

A question about Stevenage vs Leyton Orient?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stevenage vs Leyton Orient?
The Footlab AI model makes Stevenage the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Leyton Orient.
Where and when is Stevenage vs Leyton Orient played?
Stevenage vs Leyton Orient is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Lamex Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Stevenage and Leyton Orient

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