Stevenage vs Leyton Orient: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Stevenage the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Leyton Orient. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stevenage vs Leyton Orient?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Stevenage (1,836) and Leyton Orient (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stevenage have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Leyton Orient have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stevenage win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Leyton Orient win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Stevenage 1-2 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Leyton Orient 2-3 Stevenage | League One |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Leyton Orient 1-0 Stevenage | League One |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Leyton Orient 0-1 Stevenage | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Stevenage 0-0 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Stevenage 0-1 Leyton Orient | League One |
Last archived meeting: Stevenage vs Leyton Orient on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stevenage score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leyton Orient score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 0.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Leyton Orient | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stevenage sit 19th in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Leyton Orient sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 19 | Stevenage | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stevenage vs Leyton Orient?
- The Footlab model makes Stevenage the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Leyton Orient.
- Where and when is Stevenage vs Leyton Orient played?
- Stevenage vs Leyton Orient is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Lamex Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.