Plymouth vs Blackpool: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Blackpool. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plymouth vs Blackpool?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Plymouth (1,919) and Blackpool (1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Blackpool have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 2-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tavistock(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 1-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Plymouth win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Blackpool win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Blackpool 0-4 Plymouth | League One |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Plymouth 1-0 Blackpool | League One |
| Mar 27, 2021 | Blackpool 2-2 Plymouth | League One |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Plymouth 1-0 Blackpool | League One |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Blackpool 2-2 Plymouth | League One |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Plymouth 0-1 Blackpool | League One |
Last archived meeting: Blackpool vs Plymouth on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Blackpool score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Blackpool | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plymouth sit 22nd in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Blackpool sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Blackpool | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plymouth vs Blackpool?
- The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Blackpool.
- Where and when is Plymouth vs Blackpool played?
- Plymouth vs Blackpool is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Home Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.