Match

Leighton Town vs Leiston: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Freed Veneers Community Stadium, Leighton Buzzard, Bedfordshire

Leighton TownLeiston

The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Leiston. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leighton Town vs Leiston?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Leighton Town (1,845) and Leiston (1,790).

Leighton Town win48 %
Draw25 %
Leiston win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leighton Town have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Leiston have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leighton Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Anstey Nomads(away)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Worcester City(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Kettering Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Redditch United(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026London Lions(home)5-0Non League Div One - Southern Central
Leiston
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stourbridge(away)2-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Rushall Olympic(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Bishop's Stortford(home)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Anstey Nomads(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026Gorleston(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Leighton Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Leiston win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2020Leighton Town 1-2 LeistonFA Cup
Nov 4, 2014Leighton Town 2-5 LeistonFA Trophy
Nov 1, 2014Leiston 2-2 Leighton TownFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Leighton Town vs Leiston on Oct 3, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leighton Town2.30.785/157/15
Leiston1.41.4311/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leighton Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (5 points from 3 matches) and Leiston sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Leighton Town3120435
8Leiston3111544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leighton Town vs Leiston?
The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Leiston.
Where and when is Leighton Town vs Leiston played?
Leighton Town vs Leiston is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Freed Veneers Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leighton Town and Leiston

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