Leighton Town vs Racing Club Warwick: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Freed Veneers Community Stadium, Leighton Buzzard, Bedfordshire
The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Racing Club Warwick. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leighton Town vs Racing Club Warwick?
Leighton Town starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,877 vs 1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leighton Town have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Racing Club Warwick have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | London Lions(home) | 5-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hitchin Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Banbury United(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | St Neots Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
How many goals should we expect?
Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Club Warwick score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leighton Town | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Racing Club Warwick | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leighton Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (5 points from 3 matches) and Racing Club Warwick sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leighton Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Racing Club Warwick | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leighton Town vs Racing Club Warwick?
- The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Racing Club Warwick.
- Where and when is Leighton Town vs Racing Club Warwick played?
- Leighton Town vs Racing Club Warwick is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Freed Veneers Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 13, 2026StamfordvsStratford Town
- Oct 13, 2026Bury TownvsNeedham Market
- Oct 13, 2026Halesowen TownvsAlvechurch
- Oct 13, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsReal Bedford
- Oct 13, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsKettering Town
- Oct 13, 2026LeistonvsHitchin Town
- Oct 13, 2026Peterborough SportsvsBanbury United
- Oct 13, 2026LeamingtonvsRedditch United