Leighton Town vs Stratford Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Freed Veneers Community Stadium, Leighton Buzzard, Bedfordshire
The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Stratford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leighton Town vs Stratford Town?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Leighton Town (1,845) and Stratford Town (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leighton Town have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Stratford Town have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | London Lions(home) | 5-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 1-6 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Redditch United(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stratford Town score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leighton Town | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Stratford Town | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leighton Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (5 points from 3 matches) and Stratford Town sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leighton Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 16 | Stratford Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leighton Town vs Stratford Town?
- The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Stratford Town.
- Where and when is Leighton Town vs Stratford Town played?
- Leighton Town vs Stratford Town is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Freed Veneers Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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