Leioa vs Derio: result 2-1 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 27Kick-off on March 22, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sarriena, Leioa
Full time
What was the result of Leioa vs Derio?
Leioa won 2-1 on March 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 1′Mikel BaigDerio
- 30′AlainLeioa
- 33′Ieltxu GarcíaLeioa
Official lineup for Leioa vs Derio
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Leioa
- EErik Polanco
- JJosu Juste
- AAlain
- IIeltxu García
- AAndoni Pérez
- SSalaberria
- dde Eguino
- IIñaki Recio
- AAnder Blanco
- AAsier Santamaría
- IIbón Barandiarán
Derio
- AAitor Torrico
- MMiracle Daniel
- AAlvaro Fernandez Fijo
- LLlamazares
- IIbai Asensio
- MMikel Baig
- UUrtzi Iriondo
- JJony Etxeandia
- AAnder González
- AAnder Calle
- PPablo Fid Martín
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leioa have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Derio have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Santurtzi(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Beasain(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Pasaia KE(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | San Ignacio(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Basconia(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | San Viator(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Portugalete(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Eibar III(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Touring(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Leioa win, 1 draw, 1 Derio win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | Derio 0-1 Leioa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Derio 3-1 Leioa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Leioa 1-1 Derio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Leioa score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derio score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leioa | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Derio | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leioa sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (12 points from 6 matches) and Derio sit 3rd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leioa | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Derio | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
A question about Leioa vs Derio?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy