Lens vs Manchester City: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 7Kick-off on January 20, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
The Footlab AI model makes Manchester City the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Lens. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manchester City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,322 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lens vs Manchester City?
Manchester City starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (2,299 vs 2,174).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lens vs Manchester City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lens
3-4-2-1- 29Franjo Ivanovic
- 14M. Udol
- 21A. Haidara
- 10F. Thauvin
- 9T. Hazard
- 27M. Cuisance
- 23Saud Abdulhamid
- 6S. Baidoo
- 2R. Aguilar
- 32K. Antonio
- 40R. Risser
Manchester City
4-2-3-1- 9E. Haaland
- 17E. Fernández
- 5E. Anderson
- 10R. Cherki
- 7I. Ndiaye
- 47P. Foden
- 45A. Khusanov
- 6M. Guéhi
- 3Rúben Dias
- 27Matheus Nunes
- 1G. Donnarumma
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lens have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Manchester City have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Como(home) | 1-9 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Lille(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lens score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester City score 2.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Manchester City | 2.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lens sit 33rd in UEFA Champions League (3 points from 4 matches) and Manchester City sit 7th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Manchester City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 33 | Lens | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Lens vs Manchester City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lens vs Manchester City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manchester City the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Lens.
- Where and when is Lens vs Manchester City played?
- Lens vs Manchester City is played on January 20, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.