Lens vs Stade Brestois 29: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 17Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
The Footlab AI model makes Lens the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Stade Brestois 29. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lens wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lens vs Stade Brestois 29?
Lens starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (2,212 vs 2,006).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lens vs Stade Brestois 29
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lens
3-4-2-1- 11O. Édouard
- 10F. Thauvin
- 2R. Aguilar
- 8Y. Titraoui
- 7F. Sotoca
- 22M. Skóraś
- 14M. Udol
- 32K. Antonio
- 25I. Ganiou
- 20J. Todibo
- 40R. Risser
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1- 19L. Ajorque
- 13J. Chotard
- 8H. Magnetti
- 23K. Doumbia
- 9P. Mboup
- 17Mama Baldé
- 2B. Locko
- 4G. Lloris
- 70K. Lala
- 29L. Tousart
- 1E. Selvik
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lens have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Stade Brestois 29 have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lille(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Angers(home) | 5-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Monza(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lens wins, 1 draw, 1 Stade Brestois 29 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 3-3 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Lens 3-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29 1-3 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Lens 2-0 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Lens 1-0 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Stade Brestois 29 3-2 Lens | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Stade Brestois 29 vs Lens on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lens score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Brestois 29 score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lens sit 8th in Ligue 1 (10 points from 7 matches) and Stade Brestois 29 sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Lens vs Stade Brestois 29?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lens vs Stade Brestois 29?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lens the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Stade Brestois 29.
- Where and when is Lens vs Stade Brestois 29 played?
- Lens vs Stade Brestois 29 is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.