Lens W vs Lyon W: prediction and stats
Feminine Division 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Degouve Brabant, Arras
The Footlab AI model makes Lyon W the favourite at 92%, against 6% for a draw and 2% for Lens W. The most likely score is 0-4.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,718 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lens W vs Lyon W?
Lyon W is a heavy favourite: 2,480 Elo points against 1,637, a 843-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lens W vs Lyon W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lens W
5-4-1- 9Celia Agoune
- 22E. Smaali
- 10N. Gelders
- 29M. Duporge
- 28R. Éloissaint
- 7L. Archier
- 21Laureen Oillic
- 23F. Rossi
- 19L. Notel
- 18J. Evrard
- 3J. Limage
Lyon W
4-2-3-1- 14A. Hegerberg
- 7V. Bècho
- 6M. Dumornay
- 13D. Egurrola
- 10I. Benyahia
- 10L. Horan
- 3W. Renard
- 4S. Bacha
- 33Tarciane
- 26W. Sangaré
- 1C. Endler
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lens W have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Lyon W have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Strasbourg W(home) | 1-3 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Paris FC W(away) | 1-4 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Toulouse W(home) | 2-2 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Marseille W(away) | 1-2 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain W(home) | 0-2 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain W(away) | 4-0 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Toulouse W(home) | 5-0 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Chelsea W(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Servette Chênois W(away) | 8-0 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Le Havre W(away) | 8-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Lens W wins, 0 draws, 2 Lyon W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | Lyon W 1-0 Lens W | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Lens W 1-8 Lyon W | Feminine Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lens W score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lyon W score 4.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens W | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Lyon W | 4.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lens W sit 11th in Feminine Division 1 (1 point from 5 matches) and Lyon W sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Lens W | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 1 |
A question about Lens W vs Lyon W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lens W vs Lyon W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lyon W the favourite at 92%, against 6% for a draw and 2% for Lens W.
- Where and when is Lens W vs Lyon W played?
- Lens W vs Lyon W is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Degouve Brabant, in the Feminine Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.