Santos Laguna vs Leon: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Corona, Torreón
The Footlab AI model makes Santos Laguna the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Leon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santos Laguna wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santos Laguna vs Leon?
On Elo ratings, Santos Laguna has 1,785 points and Leon 1,923.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santos Laguna vs Leon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santos Laguna
5-4-1- 29Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez
- 10E. Bullaude
- 23F. Cáseres
- 21Fran Villalba
- 26R. Sordo
- 3M. Cuevas
- 25Felipe Sánchez
- 18F. Pardo
- 7D. González
- 14E. Orona
- 1C. Acevedo
Leon
4-1-4-1- 27D. Cambindo
- 29J. Rodríguez
- 203J. Lara
- 11I. Díaz
- 16J. Cortizo
- 18E. Guerra
- 7I. Moreno
- 14J. Romaña
- 3Juan José Guevara Possu
- 26S. Reyes
- 23Ó. García
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santos Laguna have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Leon have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Puebla(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 28, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Club Queretaro(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 11, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Santos Laguna wins, 1 draw, 3 Leon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Leon 2-1 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Santos Laguna 2-0 Leon | Liga MX |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Santos Laguna 2-1 Leon | Liga MX |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Leon 1-1 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Leon 3-2 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Nov 27, 2023 | Leon 3-2 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Leon vs Santos Laguna on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santos Laguna score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leon score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos Laguna | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Leon | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santos Laguna sit 14th in Liga MX (13 points from 11 matches) and Leon sit 5th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 13 |
A question about Santos Laguna vs Leon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santos Laguna vs Leon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santos Laguna the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Leon.
- Where and when is Santos Laguna vs Leon played?
- Santos Laguna vs Leon is played on November 22, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Corona, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.