Cray Wanderers vs Lewes: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Flamingo Park, London
The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Lewes. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cray Wanderers vs Lewes?
Cray Wanderers starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cray Wanderers have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Lewes have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cray Wanderers win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Lewes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Cray Wanderers 3-0 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Lewes 2-2 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Lewes 4-3 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Cray Wanderers 1-3 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Cray Wanderers 1-1 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Lewes 1-0 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Cray Wanderers vs Lewes on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cray Wanderers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Lewes | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cray Wanderers sit 15th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Lewes sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lewes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cray Wanderers vs Lewes?
- The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Lewes.
- Where and when is Cray Wanderers vs Lewes played?
- Cray Wanderers vs Lewes is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Flamingo Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026DartfordvsWingate & Finchley
- Oct 10, 2026LeatherheadvsCheshunt
- Oct 10, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsWelling United
- Oct 10, 2026WhitehawkvsRamsgate
- Oct 10, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsAveley
- Oct 10, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsWhyteleafe
- Oct 10, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsSt Albans City
- Oct 10, 2026Enfield TownvsDulwich Hamlet