Lexington vs Indy Eleven: result 1-1 and analysis
USL ChampionshipRegular Season - 4Kick-off on March 22, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Lexington SC Stadium, Lexington, Kentucky
Full time
What was the result of Lexington vs Indy Eleven?
Lexington and Indy Eleven drew 1-1 on March 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 60′B. RendonIndy Eleven
- 79′M. EppsLexington
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lexington have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Indy Eleven have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2025 | Southern Indiana(home) | 5-0 | US Open Cup |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Orange County SC(away) | 2-2 | USL Championship |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Hartford Athletic(home) | 2-0 | USL Championship |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Louisville City(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Miami FC(away) | 3-1 | USL Championship |
| Mar 2, 2025 | FC Cincinnati II(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Forward Madison(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Chicago Fire II(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Lexington score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Indy Eleven score 2.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Indy Eleven | 2.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lexington sit 8th in USL Championship (15 points from 12 matches) and Indy Eleven sit 6th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 28 |
| 7 | Lexington | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 31 |
| 8 | Lexington | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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