Lexington vs Sacramento Republic: result 2-2 and analysis
USL ChampionshipRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 17, 2025 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Lexington SC Stadium, Lexington, Kentucky
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What was the result of Lexington vs Sacramento Republic?
Lexington and Sacramento Republic drew 2-2 on October 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 4′C. BurkeLexington
- 64′M. EppsLexington
- 85′C. ParanoSacramento Republic
- 90′J. HerreraSacramento Republic
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lexington have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sacramento Republic have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | El Paso Locomotive(home) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
| Oct 5, 2025 | FC Tulsa(away) | 0-3 | USL Championship |
| Sep 28, 2025 | New Mexico United(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Detroit City(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Orange County SC(home) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Hartford Athletic(away) | 2-3 | USL Championship |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Hartford Athletic(home) | 0-1 | USL League One Cup |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Orange County SC(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Monterey Bay(away) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Colorado Springs(away) | 2-0 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lexington win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sacramento Republic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2025 | Sacramento Republic 0-0 Lexington | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sacramento Republic vs Lexington on Jul 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Lexington score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sacramento Republic score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Sacramento Republic | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lexington sit 8th in USL Championship (15 points from 12 matches) and Sacramento Republic sit 6th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 31 |
| 7 | Lexington | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 31 |
| 8 | Lexington | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 12, 2025New Mexico United3-3Orange County SC
- Oct 12, 2025Las Vegas Lights2-2Oakland Roots
- Oct 18, 2025Charleston Battery1-1Detroit City
- Oct 18, 2025North Carolina0-0Rhode Island
- Oct 18, 2025Tampa Bay Rowdies3-2Hartford Athletic
- Oct 19, 2025Colorado Springs1-0Las Vegas Lights
- Oct 19, 2025El Paso Locomotive1-1FC Tulsa
- Oct 19, 2025Indy Eleven2-1Loudoun United