Where and when is New Mexico United vs Lexington played?

New Mexico United vs Lexington is played on August 27, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

New Mexico United vs Lexington: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, Albuquerque, New Mexico

New Mexico United

Lexington

The Footlab model makes New Mexico United the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Lexington. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win New Mexico United vs Lexington?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate New Mexico United (1,836) and Lexington (1,765).

New Mexico United win51 %

Draw25 %

Lexington win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New Mexico United have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Lexington have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

New Mexico United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Loudoun United(away)	0-0	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	FC Tulsa(home)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 9, 2026	Monterey Bay(away)	5-2	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Colorado Springs(home)	1-0	USL Championship
Jul 15, 2026	Lexington(away)	4-1	USL Championship

Lexington
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Las Vegas Lights(home)	2-0	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Sacramento Republic(away)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Phoenix Rising(home)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Monterey Bay(home)	3-2	USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026	FC Tulsa(away)	0-0	USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 New Mexico United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lexington win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 15, 2026	Lexington 1-4 New Mexico United	USL Championship
Sep 28, 2025	New Mexico United 2-1 Lexington	USL Championship
Jun 14, 2025	Lexington 2-1 New Mexico United	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Lexington vs New Mexico United on Jul 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

New Mexico United score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lexington score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
New Mexico United	1.7	0.9	8	5/15	6/15
Lexington	1.7	1.2	6	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

New Mexico United sit 9th in USL Championship (15 points from 11 matches) and Lexington sit 8th (15 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	New Mexico United	18	10	4	4	26	17	34
7	Lexington	20	9	4	7	30	23	31
8	Lexington	12	4	3	5	17	15	15
9	New Mexico United	11	4	3	4	12	13	15

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for New Mexico United vs Lexington?: The Footlab model makes New Mexico United the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Lexington.
Where and when is New Mexico United vs Lexington played?: New Mexico United vs Lexington is played on August 27, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.