Where and when is Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic played?

Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Cardinale Stadium, in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Cardinale Stadium, Seaside, California

Monterey Bay

Sacramento Republic

The Footlab model makes Sacramento Republic the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Monterey Bay. The most likely score is 0-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic?

Sacramento Republic starts as the favourite with a 244-point Elo edge (1,805 vs 1,561).

Monterey Bay win19 %

Draw26 %

Sacramento Republic win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monterey Bay have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sacramento Republic have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Monterey Bay
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Rhode Island(away)	1-3	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Oakland Roots(away)	1-1	USL Championship
Aug 9, 2026	New Mexico United(home)	2-5	USL Championship
Aug 6, 2026	El Paso Locomotive(away)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Lexington(away)	2-3	USL Championship

Sacramento Republic
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Phoenix Rising(home)	2-2	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Lexington(home)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Pittsburgh Riverhounds(away)	0-0	USL Championship
Aug 6, 2026	FC Tulsa(away)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Sporting JAX(home)	5-0	USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Monterey Bay win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Sacramento Republic win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 7, 2026	Sacramento Republic 1-1 Monterey Bay	USL League One Cup
Mar 22, 2026	Sacramento Republic 1-1 Monterey Bay	USL Championship
Sep 28, 2025	Monterey Bay 1-0 Sacramento Republic	USL Championship
Aug 10, 2025	Sacramento Republic 1-0 Monterey Bay	USL Championship
Mar 1, 2025	Monterey Bay 2-1 Sacramento Republic	Friendlies Clubs
Oct 10, 2024	Sacramento Republic 2-2 Monterey Bay	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay on Jun 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Monterey Bay score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sacramento Republic score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Monterey Bay	1.4	1.7	3	10/15	8/15
Sacramento Republic	1.2	0.9	5	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Monterey Bay sit 12th in USL Championship (11 points from 13 matches) and Sacramento Republic sit 6th (16 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Sacramento Republic	11	4	4	3	13	11	16
6	Sacramento Republic	20	8	7	5	27	18	31
12	Monterey Bay	13	3	2	8	13	22	11
12	Monterey Bay	22	4	4	14	23	40	16

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic?: The Footlab model makes Sacramento Republic the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Monterey Bay.
Where and when is Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic played?: Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Cardinale Stadium, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.