Leyton Orient vs Notts County: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Brisbane Road, London
The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Leyton Orient. The most likely score is 1-1. If Notts County wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leyton Orient vs Notts County?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Leyton Orient (1,844) and Notts County (1,882).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leyton Orient vs Notts County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leyton Orient
3-4-2-1- 18D. Scarlett
- 2F. Stevens
- 22Y. Akhamrich
- 9J. Kabia
- 20A. Gilbert
- 14I. Hayden
- 8I. El Mizouni
- 6W. Forrester
- 5J. Olowu
- 12A. Gilchrist
- 1N. Baxter
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 9D. Kanu
- 8O. Cooper
- 18M. Palmer
- 26I. Samuels-Smith
- 14D. Lipsiuc
- 7C. Roberts
- 15J. Evans
- 12L. Ness
- 4J. Bedeau
- 3R. McDonald
- 1J. Gibbons
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leyton Orient have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Notts County have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Arsenal U21(home) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 2-3 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Reading(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leyton Orient wins, 1 draw, 3 Notts County wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | Leyton Orient 2-3 Notts County | League Two |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Notts County 3-1 Leyton Orient | League Two |
| Feb 20, 2016 | Notts County 0-1 Leyton Orient | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2015 | Leyton Orient 3-1 Notts County | League Two |
| Feb 10, 2015 | Leyton Orient 0-1 Notts County | League One |
| Sep 16, 2014 | Notts County 1-1 Leyton Orient | League One |
Last archived meeting: Leyton Orient vs Notts County on Feb 18, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Leyton Orient score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Notts County score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Notts County | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leyton Orient sit 13th in League One (11 points from 9 matches) and Notts County sit 22nd (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 11 |
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Leyton Orient vs Notts County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leyton Orient vs Notts County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Leyton Orient.
- Where and when is Leyton Orient vs Notts County played?
- Leyton Orient vs Notts County is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Brisbane Road, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.