Notts County vs Cambridge United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Cambridge United the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Notts County. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notts County vs Cambridge United?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Notts County (1,826) and Cambridge United (1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notts County have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Cambridge United have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Luton(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Notts County win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Cambridge United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Cambridge United 4-0 Notts County | League Two |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Notts County 2-0 Cambridge United | League Two |
| Jan 12, 2019 | Notts County 0-1 Cambridge United | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2018 | Cambridge United 3-2 Notts County | League Two |
| Feb 20, 2018 | Cambridge United 1-0 Notts County | League Two |
| Dec 23, 2017 | Notts County 3-3 Cambridge United | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Cambridge United vs Notts County on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Notts County score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cambridge United score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Cambridge United | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notts County sit 15th in League One (2 points from 2 matches) and Cambridge United sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cambridge United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Notts County | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notts County vs Cambridge United?
- The Footlab model makes Cambridge United the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Notts County.
- Where and when is Notts County vs Cambridge United played?
- Notts County vs Cambridge United is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Meadow Lane, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.