Leyton Orient vs Plymouth: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brisbane Road, London
The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Leyton Orient. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leyton Orient vs Plymouth?
Plymouth starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leyton Orient have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Plymouth have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 2-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tavistock(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leyton Orient win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Plymouth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Leyton Orient 1-3 Plymouth | League One |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Leyton Orient 0-1 Plymouth | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Plymouth 0-1 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Plymouth 2-0 Leyton Orient | League Cup |
| Sep 15, 2020 | Leyton Orient 3-2 Plymouth | League Cup |
| Oct 22, 2019 | Plymouth 4-0 Leyton Orient | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Leyton Orient vs Plymouth on Feb 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leyton Orient score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Plymouth | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leyton Orient sit 10th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Plymouth sit 22nd (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leyton Orient vs Plymouth?
- The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Leyton Orient.
- Where and when is Leyton Orient vs Plymouth played?
- Leyton Orient vs Plymouth is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Brisbane Road, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.