Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hillsborough, Sheffield
The Footlab model makes Cambridge United the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Sheffield Wednesday. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United?
Cambridge United starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,888 vs 1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Wednesday have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cambridge United have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Sheffield Wednesday win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cambridge United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2023 | Sheffield Wednesday 5-0 Cambridge United | League One |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Cambridge United 0-2 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday 6-0 Cambridge United | League One |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Cambridge United 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Aug 9, 2016 | Cambridge United 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United on Jan 2, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Wednesday score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cambridge United score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Cambridge United | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheffield Wednesday sit 12th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Cambridge United sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cambridge United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Sheffield Wednesday | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United?
- The Footlab model makes Cambridge United the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Sheffield Wednesday.
- Where and when is Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United played?
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hillsborough, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.