Match

Leyton Orient vs Stevenage: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brisbane Road, London

Leyton OrientStevenage

The Footlab model makes Leyton Orient the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Stevenage. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Leyton Orient (1,815) and Stevenage (1,831).

Leyton Orient win39 %
Draw28 %
Stevenage win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leyton Orient have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Stevenage have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leyton Orient
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wigan(away)2-0League One
Aug 18, 2026AFC Wimbledon(home)1-1EFL Trophy
Aug 15, 2026Sheffield Wednesday(home)1-2League One
Aug 8, 2026Oxford United(home)2-0League Cup
Aug 4, 2026Waltham Abbey(away)7-1Friendlies Clubs
Stevenage
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Oxford United(home)1-2League One
Aug 15, 2026Burton Albion(away)1-1League One
Aug 7, 2026Wycombe(away)2-1League Cup
Aug 1, 2026Colchester(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Millwall(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leyton Orient win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Stevenage win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 10, 2026Stevenage 1-2 Leyton OrientLeague One
Sep 27, 2025Leyton Orient 2-3 StevenageLeague One
Mar 27, 2025Leyton Orient 1-0 StevenageLeague One
Jan 21, 2025Leyton Orient 0-1 StevenageEFL Trophy
Nov 23, 2024Stevenage 0-0 Leyton OrientLeague One
Mar 16, 2024Stevenage 0-1 Leyton OrientLeague One

Last archived meeting: Stevenage vs Leyton Orient on Mar 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leyton Orient score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stevenage score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leyton Orient1.81.2310/158/15
Stevenage0.91.366/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leyton Orient sit 10th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Stevenage sit 19th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Leyton Orient2101323
19Stevenage2011231

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?
The Footlab model makes Leyton Orient the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Stevenage.
Where and when is Leyton Orient vs Stevenage played?
Leyton Orient vs Stevenage is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Brisbane Road, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leyton Orient and Stevenage

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