Oxford United vs Cambridge United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire
The Footlab model makes Cambridge United the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Oxford United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oxford United vs Cambridge United?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Oxford United (1,825) and Cambridge United (1,893).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oxford United have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cambridge United have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oxford United win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Cambridge United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2023 | Oxford United 2-1 Cambridge United | League One |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Cambridge United 2-0 Oxford United | League One |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Cambridge United 1-0 Oxford United | League One |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Oxford United 1-0 Cambridge United | League One |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Oxford United 4-2 Cambridge United | League One |
| Aug 31, 2021 | Cambridge United 4-1 Oxford United | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Oxford United vs Cambridge United on Dec 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Oxford United score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cambridge United score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Cambridge United | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oxford United sit 5th in League One (4 points from 2 matches) and Cambridge United sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cambridge United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Oxford United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oxford United vs Cambridge United?
- The Footlab model makes Cambridge United the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Oxford United.
- Where and when is Oxford United vs Cambridge United played?
- Oxford United vs Cambridge United is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Kassam Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.