Match

Peterborough vs Doncaster: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough

PeterboroughDoncaster

The Footlab model makes Doncaster the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Peterborough. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Peterborough vs Doncaster?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Peterborough (1,779) and Doncaster (1,813).

Peterborough win33 %
Draw25 %
Doncaster win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peterborough have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Doncaster have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Peterborough
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Mansfield Town(home)2-1League One
Aug 15, 2026Bradford(away)0-2League One
Aug 8, 2026Bristol Rovers(away)1-0League Cup
Aug 1, 2026West Brom(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026York(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Doncaster
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Barnsley(home)0-0League One
Aug 15, 2026Mansfield Town(away)1-2League One
Aug 8, 2026Stockport County(away)1-1League Cup
Aug 1, 2026Lincoln(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Wolves(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Peterborough win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Doncaster win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Peterborough 1-3 DoncasterLeague One
Nov 29, 2025Doncaster 2-1 PeterboroughLeague One
Dec 2, 2023Peterborough 2-1 DoncasterFA Cup
May 9, 2021Doncaster 1-4 PeterboroughLeague One
Apr 27, 2021Peterborough 2-2 DoncasterLeague One
Dec 26, 2019Peterborough 0-3 DoncasterLeague One

Last archived meeting: Peterborough vs Doncaster on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Peterborough score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Doncaster score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Peterborough0.91.548/157/15
Doncaster1.41.157/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Peterborough sit 13th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Doncaster sit 20th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Peterborough2101233
20Doncaster2011121

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Peterborough vs Doncaster?
The Footlab model makes Doncaster the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Peterborough.
Where and when is Peterborough vs Doncaster played?
Peterborough vs Doncaster is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Weston Homes Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Peterborough and Doncaster

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