Leyton Orient vs Stockport County: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 45Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brisbane Road, London
The Footlab model makes Stockport County the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Leyton Orient. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leyton Orient vs Stockport County?
Stockport County starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leyton Orient have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Stockport County have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 6-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Preston(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leyton Orient win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Stockport County win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Stockport County 0-0 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Leyton Orient 2-2 Stockport County | League One |
| May 14, 2025 | Stockport County 1-1 Leyton Orient | League One |
| May 10, 2025 | Leyton Orient 2-2 Stockport County | League One |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Leyton Orient 0-1 Stockport County | League One |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Stockport County 1-4 Leyton Orient | League One |
Last archived meeting: Stockport County vs Leyton Orient on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leyton Orient score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stockport County score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Stockport County | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leyton Orient sit 10th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Stockport County sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stockport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leyton Orient vs Stockport County?
- The Footlab model makes Stockport County the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Leyton Orient.
- Where and when is Leyton Orient vs Stockport County played?
- Leyton Orient vs Stockport County is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Brisbane Road, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.