Burton Albion vs Bromley: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 45Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Bromley. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Bromley?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Burton Albion (1,798) and Bromley (1,852).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burton Albion have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Bromley have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Reading(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | QPR(home) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Burton Albion score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bromley score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Bromley | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burton Albion sit 7th in League One (4 points from 2 matches) and Bromley sit 8th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Burton Albion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Bromley | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burton Albion vs Bromley?
- The Footlab model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Bromley.
- Where and when is Burton Albion vs Bromley played?
- Burton Albion vs Bromley is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Pirelli Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.